Wednesday, January 29, 2014

RetroTweets – Divisional Play, Wild Cards, MVPs and Cy Young Winners 1900-1919. 1900, 1901 redux, 1902

RetroTweets – Divisional Play, Wild Cards, MVPs and Cy Young

 Winners 1900-1919.

1900, 1901 redux, 1902

1904 Harvard Baseball Team with African-American Baseball-Team Member Matthews in Front Row.  See, that wasn't so hard? It only took Organized Baseball 43 more years to integrate.


In a prior column posted back on August 1, 2013, we introduced the idea of “Retrotweets” and examined how the National League and American League could have been split into East and West Divisions in 1901, and how they could have had wild cards and playoffs in 1901. 

We could examine each of the seasons in detail but for the sake of brevity, let us summarize our findings by era.  This column will be devoted to the so-called “Deadball Era” 1901-1919.  The next columns will be devoted to the “Babe Ruth/Lou Gehrig/Lively Ball Era” 1920-1939.  After that will be “World War II and the 1950s” 1940-1959.  Following that will arrive “The Expansion Era - !960-1979” Part I and then “The Expansion Era Part II – The Juice is Loose – 1980-1999”.  Of course, divisions were introduced in 1969, but we will look at whether there could have been three divisions of four teams as early as 1969, and whether there could have been wild cards as early as 1969. 

This excerpt covers 1900, 1901 and 1902.

1913 World Champion Philadelphia Athletics Managed by Connie Mack Fatima Cigarettes Team Photo w/o Hall of Famers Eddie Collins, Chief Bender, Frank "Home Run" Baker, Eddie "Gettysburg" Plank, and Manager Connie Mack.  The A's won AL Pennants in 1902, 1905, 1910, 1911, 1913 & 1914, and World Series in 1910, 1911 and 1913.  Players they signed but did not keep included Hall of Famers Napoleon "Nap" Lajoie, & Stan Coveleski, and the infamous Shoeless Joe Jackson.


In addition, we will furnish lists of the NL and AL MVPs and Cy Youngs for each year.  One caveat here is that for the early years of the 20th century, due to the fact that pitchers throw so many innings, often close to 400 IP per year, their win shares and WARs tend to swamp out the win shares and WARs of positions players every single year, so for the deadball era and possible for the next quintile of twenty years, we will have an overall MVP and then a position player MVP, because the overall MVP will usually be a starting pitcher.  Looking further on down the line, in some more recent years, relief pitchers have received the Cy Young award.  This is hardly ever merited based on WAR—no relief pitcher is ever worth as much as a starting pitcher in terms of WAR or win shares due to the fact that modernly, relief pitchers only throw about a hundred innings or less.  So we’re going to have to give them a separate designation as well for the last twenty years or so.  (of course, prior to 1985, relievers threw two or three innings at a time, and two hundred innings a years, but that’s another story).  So let’s retrotweet and examine the history of baseball’s division winners wildcards MVPs and Cy Youngs as they were meant to have happened…

Eddie Collins Baseball Card, Rear w/ Text & Stats, 1910

Eddie Collins 2b HOF Philadelphia Athletics Baseball Card Front below, Back, Above.  The White Elephant was the symbol of the Philadelphia Athletics for nearly all of their existence.


Going back to the 1900 National League:
1900 National League
NL East                              Record                 GB
Brooklyn             82-54                    -----
Phila                     75-63                        8
Boston                  66-72                       18
NYGiants             60-78                       23
NL West
Pitts                      75-63                    -----
StL                        65-75                        9
Chi                        65-75                        9
Cin                        62-77                      13.5

For 1900 the Division Winners are Brooklyn & Pittsburgh; the Wild Cards are the Phillies and the Braves.  The Playoffs are the Braves at the Pirates and the Phillies at the Superbas (now the Dodgers).  Brooklyn was really mostly the former Baltimore Orioles, which with the Braves had won the vast majority of NL pennants during the 1890s, while the Phillies had often come in 3d or 4th.  The Pirates were a newcomer, having absorbed several key players from the dissolved Louisville franchise, notably Honus Wagner and Fred Clarke, both of whom would have HOF careers, along with some key pitchers.  Thus, four very good teams.  Hard to pick these playoffs.  We’ll guess that Brooklyn and Pittsburgh might make it to the NLCS, but after that, a coinflip.  And, since the AL is still a year away, that’s the championship. 

1900 NL Overall MVP – Denton True “Cyclone Cy” Young aka “Cy Young”, P, St. Louis with a 7.3 WAR.  Best position players were Honus Wagner of the Pirates and Elmer Flick of the Phillies, tied at 6.8 WAR. 

1900 NL Position Player MVP – Co-Winners, Honus Wagner, Pirates, Elmer Flick, Phillies, tied, 6.8 WAR.

1900 NL Cy Young – Cy Young.  7.5 pitching WAR.  Yes, that Cy Young.  And he was already 33 by 1900 and still throwing smoke.  Young only went 19-19 but the St. Louis Perfectos aka Cardinals were 65-75, and they stunk.  And this was Cy Young’s 12th best season in terms of WAR.  Young, Wagner & Flick will all end up in the HOF.
1901 AL and NL – we did in an earlier blog.  The Phils won the NL East and the Pirates won the NL West, with Brooklyn and St. Louis as wild cards.  Boston won the AL East while the Chisox won the AL West, with the Phila As and Detroit Tigers as Wild Cards. 
1901 NL Overall MVP  – Christopher “Christy” aka “Big Six” aka “Matty” Mathewson of the New York Giants.  9.0 WAR easily leads the NL. 

1901 NL Position Player MVP- Highest position player WAR is Bobby Wallace of the St. Louis Perfectos aka Cardinals with a 7.7 WAR.  Wallace was a superb fielder and RH hitter who could run and hit some as well.  Wallace’s’ career total defensive WAR of 28.7 is 8th all-time behind 1)Ozzie Smith, 2) Mark Belanger, 3)Brooks Robinson, 4)Cal Ripken, 5)Joe Tinker, 6)Luis Aparicio, 7)Rabbit Maranville & 8)Pudge Rodriguez.  Nice company.  Both Mathewson & Wallace are in the HOF.    

1901 NL Cy Young – Christy Mathewson, 9.1 WAR as a pitcher.  Christy Mathewson attended Bucknell University in Lewisburg, PA, and is buried at Bucknell.  Many believe him to have been the greatest pitcher of all time, and he has certainly inspired generations of baseball players at Bucknell. 

1901 AL Overall MVP– Cy Young, now of the Boston Red Sox, with a 12.6 WAR.  The best position player is Nap Lajoie of the Philadelphia Athletics with an 8.4 WAR.   Young and Lajoie are both HOFers. 

1901 AL Cy Young  - Cy Young.  12.6 pitching WAR.  This time, pitching for a 1st place division winner, he goes 33-10 with a 1.62 ERA leading the league in strikeouts and ERA+.  So that’s two Cy Youngs for Cy Young.  If you neutralize his stats to a 750 run season, it looks like this:  43 wins, 5 losses, 1.41 ERA, 434 IP, 354 H, 7 HR, 185 K.  You’d have to say Cy Young was the gold standard by which you’d measure any pitcher.  He didn’t start pitching until he was 23, but he had more than 500 career wins anyway. 

1902 AL & NL
1902 NL
NL East                              Record                 GB
Brooklyn             75-63                    -----
Boston                  73-64                      1.5
Phila                     56-81                    18.5
NYG                     48-88                    26
NL West
Pitts                      103-36                 -----
Cinn                      70-70                    33.5
Chi                        68-69                    34
StL                        56-78                    44.5

Division Winners are Brooklyn, NL East, and Pirates, NL West.  Wild Cards are Boston Braves and Cincinnati Reds.  The NL Playoffs will be Reds at Pirates and Braves at Trolley Dodgers/Robins.  The Braves/Dodgers is a flip, while the Pirates would probably crush the Reds.  After that, the Pirates would probably crush the winner of the Braves-Dodgers matchup.  Brooklyn has its second division win in three years and was a wild card in 1901  Pitts has won its third consecutive NL West division crown.  The Phils after a wild card and a division crown have fallen out of the playoff hunt due to losses to the AL, the big one being HOF Ed Delahanty jumping to Wash of the AL.  Boston is a wild card for the 2d time in three years.     

1950s Relief Pitcher Gus Constantine Keriazakos.  Not a Deadball Player, but I like him because, after all, his name is pretty much Kyriazis with a few vowels and consonants re-arranged.  And, he played for the Athletics, though not until they were in KC.

The Back of Gus Keriazakos' Baseball Card.  For some reason, the KC Athletics in the 1950s had a lot of Greek-American ball-players, including Gus Keriazakos, Lou "The Nervous Greek" Skizas, and John Tsitouris, who is famous in Phillies lore for beating the Phillies in Game One of the Ten Game Losing Streak that cost the Phils the 1964 pennant.  Beware of Greeks throwing 1-0 shutouts in which Chico Ruiz steals home....


This is probably where we discuss the world famous “Honus Wagner” baseball card.  Honus Wagner did not smoke, and therefore did not want his picture on a tobacco company endorsed baseball card.  He asked his card be pulled from production after a small initial run.  Thus, very few were made, and the cards that were made instantly became exceedingly rare.

1902 AL
AL East                              Record                 GB
Phila As               83-53                    -----
Bosox                   77-60                      6.5
Wash                    61-75                      22
Balt                       50-88                      34
AL West
St. Louis               78-58                    -----
Chisox                  74-60                       3
Cle                        69-67                       9
Detroit                  52-83                    21.5

The Philadelphia Athletics, already managed by Connie Mack, have captured the AL East Division crown after getting a wild card the previous year, while the St. Louis Browns have rocketed from last to first and captured the NL West Division.  The wild cards are the Bosox and the Chisox, who were division winners in 1901.  The AL playoffs will be Chisox at As, and Bosox at Browns.  Note that under a divisional setup with wild cards, the St. Louis Browns get into the playoffs in 1902; in the 8 team league setup, the Browns had to wait until 1944 to win a their one and only pennant in St. Louis.  All four teams are pretty closely matched, assuming 7 game series and 2-3-2 home away home splits, it’s gotta be close.  First, let’s give the edge to the Bosox because they have Cy Young who can pitch three times in a four game series.  Next, the As have Eddie Plank and Rube Waddell, which is a pretty good 1-2 punch in a short series, so let’s pick them over the Chisox, who have not yet got Ed Walsh.  That leads to an ALCS of As v. Bosox, featuring Plank and Waddell v. Cy Young Bill Dineen and Tully Sparks.  This is really a flip—the As have great hitting but Boston has great defense with Jimmy Collins, Freddy Parent and Hobe Ferris in the infield.  At the end of the day, slight edge to Boston because of Cy Young, probably in a 7 game series.    

That brings us to the World series, which will be Pirates v. Bosox.  This ends up being the 1903 World Series, but let’s not get distracted.  The Pirates have good but not great pitching, with Jack Chesbro, Deacon Phillippe and Jesse Tannehill (a southpaw).  But oh what offense, with Honus Wagner, Fred Clarke, Tommy Leach, Ginger Beaumont, Claude Ritchey and Kitty Bransfield all with huge OPS+ numbers.  Boston has to win at least 2-3 games because of Cy Young, but the rest of the games will be the Pirates bashing Boston pitching around.  The pick has to be Pirates in seven.
 
1902 NL Overall MVP  - Jack Taylor, P, 3b, OF Chicago Cubs, 10.2 WAR.  Taylor actually earns 9.3 WAR as a pitcher, and then also plays additional games at 3b, the OF and 1b, where he excels as a hitter and defensively, and earns additional WAR. 

1902 NL Position Player MVP - The position player to come closest to Taylor is Honus Wagner at 7.2 WAR.  Honus Wagner has now won the NL Position Player MVP two of three years.

1902 NL Cy Young Award – Jack Taylor, P, Chicago Cubs, 9.3 pitching WAR.  He is closely trailed by Noodles Hahn of the Cincinnati Reds with 8.9 pitching WAR.  Jack Taylor posts his best season by far in the big leagues, going 23-11 with a league leading 1.29 ERA, a league leading 8 shutouts, a league leading ERA+ of 206, and a league leading WHIP of .953.  He allows 2 HR in 333 2/3 IP, 273 H, 45W and 88K.  His line normalized to a 750 run context has him going 33-6 with a 1.63 ERA, 353 IP, 338H, 2HR, 56W and a 1.116 WHIP.  According to his SABR bio, Taylor pitched 187 consecutive complete games from June of 1901 to August of 1906.  It’s doubtful we’ll see the likes of that again.  Cal Ripken only appeared in 2,500 whatever consecutive games; Taylor pitched nearly 200 consecutive COMPLETE games over a six year period.  Taylor’s is by far the greater feat. 

1902 AL Overall MVP  - Rube Waddell, Philadelphia Athletics.  10.3 overall WAR.  Cy Young close behind at 10.1 overall WAR.  Both are in the HOF. 

1902 ALPosition Player MVP - The position player to come closest to Waddell & Young is Ed Delahanty of the Washinton Senators at 6.7 WAR.  Long a Philadelphia Phillies, and destined for the HOF, Delahanty batted .400 twice in the 1890s, hit 4 HRs in a game, and was considered the game’s premier hitter and LF.  His defection to the AL hurt the Phillies badly—they went from winning 83G in 1901 to losing 81G in 1902—though Delahanty was only part of the story.  He would lead the AL in doubles, BA, OBA, SA and OPS+, posting a .376/.453/.590/1.043 line with 10HR, 14 3B & 43 2B, 93 RBI and 103R scored, for a team that went 61-75. 


1902 AL Cy Young Award – Cy Young, 10.0 pitching WAR, nosing out Rube Waddell, 9.7 pitching WAR.  Both HOFers.  Cy Young has won three straight Cy Youngs.  

to be continued.....

Comnments on Phillies Nation 2007 List of Top 100 Phillies of All Time

Phils Whiz Kid Stan "Stash" Lopata.  Don't Know what he was Stashing, but he was great defensively, & he hit the Long Ball.
Comments on the Phillies Nation List of Top 100 Phillies 2007 & 2014 - the 2014 List not Done Yet



Phillies Nation List of Top 100 Phillies of All Time
Comments
      Rank Phils Player (2008 edition)
1 Mike Schmidt Natch
2 Steve Carlton Roberts should be ahead of Carlton.  Higher Peak Value & Higher Career WAR.
3 Robin Roberts Carlton has a higher JAWS, but Roberts has a higher JAWS7, 
4 Ed Delahanty Meaning Roberts peak 7 seasons were better than Carltons.
5 Pete Alexander Alexander's Career WAR is 117.  If he had spent his entire career with the Phils, he'd be #1, easily.
6 Richie Ashburn Utley climbed higher after 2008.
7 Dick Allen Allen should be lower, though his peak seasons were very fine.
8 Chuck Klein Utley, Abreu & Rollins are all ahead of Klein now.
9 Sam Thompson goes lower.  He played in the 1890, 7 run a game baseball.  His Phillies WAR was @ 30.  Ennis was better
10 Bobby Abreu Abreu is the real deal but Rollins will pass him in the next two years.  
11 Sherry Magee Sherwood "Sherry" Magee is actually a top ten Phillie
12 Curt Schilling Schilling  had @ 81 career WAR so if the Phils don't trade him, he's #2 on the all-time list.  Bad Trade.
13 Billy Hamilton Roy Thomas, a U Penn grad, was actually a better leadoff man than Billy Hamilton.
14 Jim Bunning Cole Hamels has passed Jim Bunning and Chris Short on this list, & will pass Curt Schilling
15 Cy Williams He played in the 1920s when runs were cheap--good but not top 20.
16 Del Ennis Del Ennis has always been underrated.  He was very, very good.
17 Greg Luzinski Greg Luzinski is not this good at all.  He and Ryan Howard are grossly overrated.
18 Gavvy Cravath Close but has been passed by Rollins, Utley & Hamels.
19 Jimmy Rollins Rollins has moved up a lot since 2008.  
20 Johnny Callison Johnny Callison is one of the greatest Phillies ever, and also grossly underrated.
21 Chris Short close but goes a bit higher
22 Pat Burrell his defense puts him much lower than this
23 Tug McGraw hard to evaluate bullpen guys. His actualy career WAR for Philly is 9.7, so he could rank around 95th.  He did have a WAR of 4.7 in 1980, so his single season impact was immense that year.
24 Chase Utley Obviously one of the greats alltime.
25 Ryan Howard Has declined sharply since 2008, his defense is bad.
26 Garry Maddox Secretary of Defense.
27 Curt Simmons  42.7 career WAR if the Phils don't trade him he's top ten on the all time list.
28 Scott Rolen 70 career WAR #2 to Schmidt on this list if the Phils don't stupidly trade him.  Horrible trade.
29 Juan Samuel career phils WAR was 13; does not belong on top 100 Phillies list.
30 Fred Luderus deadball era slugger but does not rank this high.
31 Larry Bowa
32 Bob Boone 12.9 WAR as a phil, but 32.4 WAR career.  Trading him was a huge mistake.  Ranks around 85th on this list, but he doesn't really belong because his best years were for the Angels.
32 John Kruk .400 career OBA with a high slugging average.  To date, generated more WAR in five seasons than Howard or Luzinski in many more.
34 Von Hayes  Ranks higher.  Good defender, good speed, hit, hit for power, walked a lot, doubles machine.  
35 Lenny Dykstra Had an 8.9 WAR in 1990 & 6.5 in 1993.  Ferocious will to win.  4 HR in 1993 World Series. Ranks higher.
36 Nap Lajoie Nap Lajoie had 107 career WAR had he not jumped to the As would be #1 on this list
37 Darren Daulton just about right for Dutch
38 Manny Trillo 6.8 WAR in 4 seasons for the Phils does not get him on the top 100 with guys like Utley or Rollins.
39 Mike Lieberthal yes but not this high
40 Cole Hamels Has risen considerably since 2008; will end up as a top ten on this list.
41 Jack Taylor good early pitcher but goes lower.  Cliff Lee continues to rise up the list.
42 Dolph Camilli 12.9 WAR for Phils in 4 seasons, 42 plus WAR career + MVP would have made top ten on this list.  He's only 85th on his list, but top ten if he's not traded to the Dodgers.  One of the worst trades every for the Phillies.
43 Ron Reed Effective reliever, like Ryan Madsen, but he's much lower than this.
44 Schoolboy Rowe journeyman pitcher, ranks in bottom ten of top 100.
45 Dick Sisler Dick Sisler hit a famous HR in 1950, but he's not among the top 100 Phils ever.
46 Eppa Rixey Eppa Rixey had a career 56 plus WAR and would be 4th on this list if the Phils had not stupidly traded him away to the Reds.  He and Pete Alexander were the rocks of the 1915 pennant winning rotation.
47 Pinky Whitney In the top 100 but does not belong this high.
48 Steve Bedrosian 4.2 WAR in four-five phils seasons, and he didn't deserve his Cy Young in 1987. Not a top 100 guy. Liked his beard, though.
49 Lefty O'Doul 12 WAR in only two seasons for the Phils.  He ranks either way lower or not at all.  
50 Earl "Crossfire" Moore just about right.
51 Tony Gonzalez career 24.4 WAR with phils, actually ranks much higher.
52 Roy Thomas career 36.5 WAR with phils, is 13th best overall.  Should be in HOF.  One of best leadoff men ever.
53 Larry Christenson 83 career wins but only 9.1 career WAR leaves him out of the top 100.  Avg pitcher for a great team.
54 Pete Rose net 1.2 WAR in five seasons with Phils.  He helped Schmidt become great, but he doesn't belong.
55 Terry Mulholland he's in the low 80s on our list.
56 Andy Seminick about right.  Roy Halladay in two effective seasons was just as good as many season of Andy Seminick.
57 Johnny Moore 8.0 WAR in 4 seasons with Phils in 1930s doesn't make the top 100
58 Randy Wolf top 100 but around 85th.
59 Willie Montanez 3.6 WAR in 5 seasons doesn't make top 100.  trading him for Garry Maddox was brilliant, though.
60 Ron Northey 8.6 WAR in 5 wartime seasons and part of a sixth in 1957 doesn't make the top 100.
61 John Denny not far off.  Denny should be a few slots down.
62 Deron Johnson wasn't on phils long enough to get on the top 100.
63 Lee Meadows Who????
64 Eddie Waitkus only 5.9 WAR in 5 and some seasons with Phils.  Doesn't make top 100.  
65 Willie Jones Willies Puddinhead Jones, on the other hand, had 24.3 WAR playing a key defensive position, and is 34th on this list; a very underrated member of the Whiz Kids, one of the better 3d basemen of the 1950s
66 John Titus superb deadball player, 29th overall
67 Al Orth Al Orth had 23.4 WAR just for Phils; the Curveless Wonder had career WAR 44.1 so he's top 10 if he doesn't jump to AL in 1902
68 Dick Ruthven 7.7 overall WAR in several seasons with Phils, but only one really decent season, 1980.  not top 100.
69 George Wood 4.5 WAR in 4 seasons, not top 100.  Charlie Ferguson would have been a better choice.
70 Bob Miller #100 but Dom Brown or someone else will knock him off this list eventually.
71 Jim Konstanty tied for #100.
72 Jimmy Ring we have him just ahead of Spud Davis at #59.
73 Dutch Leonard close, 12.9 WAR for phils puts him at #85.
74 Ryan Madsen Mad Dog's 8.9 WAR in his years with the Phils, and his steady work from 2007-11 deserve consideration for the top 100, even if his WAR is a couple of points below the line.  He was great.
75 Jay Johnstone In 1976 the platoon of Downtown Ollie Brown and Jay Johnstone had a WAR of 4.9.  Johnstone alone had a WAR of 9.0 in his 5 seasons with the Phils.  That doesn't  make the top 100, but he and Brown are still my favorite Phillies ever.
76 Bake McBride 12.2 WAR for Phils in 5 seasons, career 22.6 WAR, great glove & great baserunner. Shake n' Bake should be #86 on our list.
77 Freddy Leach
78 Tully Sparks goes much higher on the list.
79 Jim Thome
80 Brett Myers
81 Jim Lonborg
82 Rick Wise
83 Hans Lobert
84 Dave Cash
85 Hal Carlson
86 Clay Dalrymple
87 Tony Taylor
88 Tommy Greene
88 Greg Gross
90 Kent Tekulve
91 Dave Hollins
92 Jamie Moyer
93 Mitch Williams
94 Granny Hamner
95 Phil Collins
96 Chick Fraser
97 Jose Mesa 
98 Ricky Bottalico
99 Kid Gleason
100 Randy Lerch
Phillies Nation Top 100 Phillies of All Time (2014 edition)
JAWS 7YRJAWS       Rank Phils Player Phils WAR
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
32
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45 Fred Luderus
46 Mike Lieberthal
47 John Kruk
48 Carlos Chooch Ruiz
49 Stan Lopata
50 Andy Seminick
51 Dode Paskert
52 Nap Lajoie
53 Jayson Werth
54 Pete Rose
55 Larry Bowa
56 Jim Fogarty
57 Pat Burrell
58 Terry Mulholland
59 Dick Ruthven
60 Placido Polanco
61 Bob Boone
62 Charlie Buffinton
63 Brad Lidge
64 Granny Hamner
65 Kid Carsey
66 Tug McGraw
67 Charlie Ferguson
68 Clay Dalrymple
69 Mickey Doolin
70 Randy Wolfpack Wolf
71 Tully Sparks
72 Dave Bancroft
73 Gus Weyhing
74 Spud Davis
75 Ray Benge
76 Tony Taylor
77 John Titus
78 Lee Meadows
79 Jamie Moyer
80 Schoolboy Rowe
81 Jim Thome
82 Lave Cross
83 Dolph Camilli
84 Don Hurst
85 Woody Fryman
86 Pinky Whitney
87 Bake McBride
88 John Denny
89 Kid Gleason
90 Otto Knabe
91 Lefty O'Doul
92 Larry Jackson
93 Jim Lonborg
94 Billy Wagner
95 Juan Samuel
96 Ron Reed
97 Ryan Madsen
98 Brett Myers
99 Antonio Bastardo